XAU/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

 Gold (XAU/USD) bias is still up, but it would remain under selling pressure. Failure to reclaim February 24 daily high at $1974 left the precious metal exposed to selling pressure unless XAU bulls recover the aforementioned. It is worth noting that the 200-day moving average (DMA) at $1816.85, from an upslope, is horizontal, indicating that the steep rally above $2000 might be subject to a further correction lower.

Upwards, XAU/USD’s first resistance would be $1974. Once cleared, the next resistance would be $2000, and the YTD high at $2075.82.

On the flip side, and the most likely scenario, XAU/USD’s first support would be March 20 low at $1950.30. Breach of the latter would expose March 16 daily low at $1895.06, followed by November 16, 2021, low at $1877.14.

NEWYORK SESSION Today

 * DXY CORRECTION is currently in progress.  Most likely after the NEWYORK SESSION today the USD is more likely to STRONG again.

 * VIX INDEX is currently moving to DOWN SIDE.  VIX 24.83 is in the PRICE LEVEL.  However, if you fall below the VIX 20 LEVEL, the DEMAND for HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES can go up.

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 * RBA MEETING was held today.  However, they did not make any changes to the INTEREST RATE.  They expect to end QE on February 10th.  They further stated that LABOR DATA and INFLATION DATA FOCUS.  They say that LABOR DATA will be much better in the future than they expected.  They expect a 2% growth in GDP in 2023.  They say inflation will rise to around 3% in the coming quarters.

US discharges oil storage: Latest Update

The United States will release 50 million barrels of crude oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve along with China, Japan, India and South Korea, the White House said in a statement - an unprecedented effort that included coordination of the largest oil consumers to tame prices.  The decision to collectively "discharge" crude inventories after OPEC+ countries rejected calls to significantly boost output marked a diplomatic victory for the United States and challenged Saudi Arabia, Russia and other OPEC+ producers in the market.

 WTI oil prices are down 1.45% on the day to $75.64/barrel.

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Comment on Gold on October 28, 2021

  - Ending yesterday's session, precious metal Gold had 1 day of gain as analyzed when from 1783 to 1799, closing the day around the threshold of 1796. Although closing the session with a bullish candle, look at it.  Overall yesterday Gold ran in two directions and has not yet broken the psychological resistance around 1800.

 - Switching to the H4 time frame we can see that after many tests of 1784 the price bounced up quickly to the resistance around 1800. Currently, the above two price zones are still holding and showing no signs of breaking.  My personal opinion is that in the beginning of today's trading session we can trade within this range and wait for the signal to break for the next trend.

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