Tuesday 1 November 2022

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD sees vulnerable, sustained weakness below $19.00 awaited



  • Silver shows some resilience below the $19.00 mark and reverses the early dip to a multi-day low.
  • The technical set-up still favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further near-term fall.
  • A sustained strength beyond the $20.00 psychological mark is needed to negate the negative bias.

Silver reverses an intraday dip to sub-$19.00 levels, or a multi-day low and climbs to the top end of its daily trading range heading into the North American session. The XAG/USD pair is currently hovering around the $19.15-$19.20 region, still down over 0.20% for the day.

From a technical perspective, any subsequent move-up is likely to face resistance near the $19.30-$19.40 confluence support breakpoint. The said area comprises the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the sharp downfall from the monthly peak and the 100-hour SMA, which should now act as a pivotal point for intraday traders.

A sustained strength beyond might trigger a short-covering move and allow the XAG/USD to reclaim the $20.00 psychological mark. The positive momentum could get extended towards an intermediate hurdle near the $20.50 area, above which bulls could target the $21.00 mark en route to the monthly peak, around the $21.25 region.

On the flip side, the $18.95-$18.90 zone coincides with the 23.6% Fibo. level. A convincing break below will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and expose the $18.00 mark, with some intermediate support near the $18.30-$18.25 region. The XAG/USD could eventually drop further to challenge the YTD low, around the $17.55 area.

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