Check out the news that happened in the last 24 hours

 1️⃣ Yesterday's main news

 - International oil prices continue to reach new 3-year highs.

 - U.S. monthly retail sales rate recorded a negative value in May.

 - The Fed's use of overnight reverse repurchases fell by the most since April 1.

 The White House's patience for bilateral negotiations on the infrastructure project is said to be nearing its limit.

 - The southwestern United States is facing a once-in-a-thousand-year drought crisis.

 - The US and Europe announced the suspension of retaliatory tariffs on the subsidy dispute between Airbus and Boeing.

 - EU launches bond issuance plan to finance recovery fund, raising 20 billion euros.

 2️⃣ Notable economic events and data today

 - the US will publish the EIA of crude oil inventories through the end of the week of June 11. API crude inventories announced early this morning recorded the fourth consecutive week of decline, in line with expectations, and the level  decrease is the largest.  since January. Crude WTI crude oil futures published in the After data were slightly higher.  Investors can pay attention to possible fluctuations in oil prices tonight.

 - Today, Russian President Putin and US President Biden held a summit.  According to reports, the summit will start on Wednesday. The Kremlin spokesman said the Putin-Biden summit will last 4-5 hours, during which there will be a break.  And change.  Format of the meeting.

 - tomorrow, the Federal Reserve will release interest rate resolutions, policy statements, and economic expectations.  Then, Fed Chairman Powell held a press conference.

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Check out the news that happened in the last 24 hours

 Yesterday's main news

 - Gold, after falling below the level of $ 1850, has risen sharply again.

 - Nasdaq and the S&P 500 index all set new closing highs.

 - The Fed's use of reverse repurchase instruments hit a record high for six consecutive days.

 - New York Fed survey: One-year average inflation expectations could reach an 8-year high.

 - US bipartisan senators reportedly will form infrastructure proposals by the end of the week

 - The UK epidemic control and prevention period has been postponed for 4 weeks.

 - The European Union begins to issue US$1 trillion in bonds.

 - US sanctions on Russian debt come into effect on the 14th.

 - Tudor Jones: Will purely bet on inflation trades.

 2️⃣ Notable economic events and data today

 - Regarding the central bank's dynamics, the Reserve Bank of Australia will release the minutes of its June monetary policy meeting today.  Additionally, today , Bank of England Governor Bailey will deliver a speech on the future of financial services.

 - About the main data, today, the monthly retail rate for May in the US, known as “terrorist” data, will be released.  The expected value is -0.8%, much lower than the previous value of 0%.  If the data is better than expected, it will be able to further support the US dollar and gold causing gold to fall.

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Check out the news that happened in the last 24 hours

 Yesterday's main news

 - US May CPI inflation data hits 13-year high, markets price Fed rate hike in 2023.

 - Former Iranian official lifted sanctions, oil prices fell sharply in the short term.

 - Bipartisan group of US senators reach agreement on tax-free infrastructure plan.

 - The Fed's balance sheet exceeds $8 trillion for the first time.

 Meat giant JBS pays $11 million in Bitcoin to solve hack.

 - The European Central Bank will significantly accelerate its bond purchases and watch the exchange rate go up.

 The Basel Committee listed Bitcoin as the highest risk category in the bank's capital proposal.

 2️⃣ Notable economic events and data today

 - Today the IEA will release its monthly crude oil market report.  Thursday's OPEC monthly report maintains the projected growth rate of global crude oil demand in 2021 at 5.95 million bpd and a recovery in oil demand in the second half  expected to be strong.

 - Today the Prime Minister of the UK and the Governor of the Central Bank attended the event.

 - The next day, the total number of US oil rigs for the week to June 11 will be announced.

 - The 46th G7 Summit will be held from 11-13 to discuss key issues such as corporate tax planning and vaccine financing.
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Weekly Market View on Cryptocurrencies

 MARKET VIEW

Weekly changes: BTCUSD +8.42%

On Thursday, 3 June, bitcoin prices rose again to 39,400 USD. Bitcoin's price began to rise after it fell to 33,300 USD on 30 May. Over the past week, the asset has increased by 8%. Bitcoin capitalization exceeded 730 USD billion, and its market share remained at 40%. The Wall Street Journal believes that the cryptocurrency market will greatly suffer since governments worldwide are planning to tighten the industry regulation, and traders are liquidating their positions in a panic.

Analysts of the consulting company Massari noted that the market drawdown caused by macroeconomic factors to which bitcoin is now tied. Experts said one of the reasons for correcting the overheating economy and the Fed's reaction was that investors were worried that instead of quantitative easing (Q.E.), the market is waiting for quantitative tightening (Q.T.).

KEY POINTS

According to the analytical service Sentiment, large cryptocurrency holders have returned to buying digital coins. The largest holders of bitcoin, whose addresses contain 100 to 100,000 digital coins, have added 50,000 bitcoins (1.8 billion USD at the current exchange rate) to their wallets over the past ten days.

The accumulation of digital coins by 'whales' usually indicates the upcoming growth of quotations, while investors perceive the sale of cryptocurrency by large holders as a signal for a fall. A similar situation happened last month. Large investors and funds began to buy the cryptocurrency during the bitcoin price fall to 30,000 USD. After that, the number of bitcoins on cryptocurrency exchanges reached its minimum in the last four months.

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Check Out The News of The Past 24 Hours By Money Life Research

 🌈🌈Good morning!  Have a nice day!

 + Check out the news of the past 24 hours:

 

 1️⃣ GBPUSD continues to have a chance to go up thanks to the hearing of the Fed Chairman

 - GBP is in a good position to increase in value because Mr. Powell has the potential to weaken the dollar.  Yohay Elam, Analyst at FXStreet commented: “While investors prefer a faster than the normal economic opening, the UK government's 4-month conservative exit plan has been well received by the market.  , seems convinced that the current blockade is final.  Furthermore, the program received broad support from the public, the opposition, the medical community - and also from the Ministry of Finance. ”

 British Pound also received support from labor data.  While the unemployment rate rose to 5.1% in December, that has met expectations.  On the other hand, wage growth increased by 4.7% (annually) and the number of requests for unemployment benefits decreased by 20,000 in January, also exceeding estimates.

 2️⃣ Notable facts and economic data today, Reserve Bank of New Zealand will announce the interest rate decision and is expected to stand still.  After that, the President of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Orr will hold a press conference.

 - At tonight, the Governor of the Bank of England Bailey, Deputy Governor Broadbent, Trustees Frieger, and Haskell delivered speeches in the House of Representatives on hopes of economic recovery and policy options.  arouse.

 - tonight, Fed Chairman Powell attended an online hearing held by the US House of Representatives Financial Services Commission to give testimony on the semi-annual monetary report.

 Tonight, Fed Governor Brainard delivered a speech on full responsibility for the Fed.  In the early hours of Thursday morning, Fed Vice Chairman Clarida will also, deliver a speech, investors should pay close attention to the statements of these Fed officials.

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Today's Dax Analysis

Yesterday after falsely breaking the support of 13820, Dax recovered the entire rise and today we have it right at the downtrend line formed in this fall, its overcoming could give new rises at least until the next resistance located at 14025. while that if he does not overcome it well, Dax could go back to yesterday's lows.  Regarding data, there is a testimony of the president of the FED.

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Check out the news of the past 24 hours- 23rd February

  1️⃣ UK announced plans to reopen the economy

 UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson will reveal his plan to get rid of the blockade measures, reopening the UK economy.

 - He is expected to speak on that issue at the Parliament of this country at about 15:30 GMT, before going to Downing Street for an official press conference in the evening.

 - According to leaks from British media revealed that he would loosen the rules for meeting friends and family to compensate for the prolonged blockade affecting economic activities.

 - The plan is supposed to consist of four separate relaxation periods, with a deadline of several weeks between each phase.  According to The Guardian, the roadmap will be:

 - Loosen rules on March 8 for meeting two people in outdoor cafes;

 - Outdoor sports at schools and clubs will be allowed to resume when school is open;

 - Outdoor meeting between 6 people or two families will be allowed from Easter;

 - Sports activities such as tennis and soccer will be allowed from the end of March;

 2️⃣ The EU aims to vaccinate 70% of its adult population by summer

 - EU Economy Minister Paolo Gentiloni said the target to vaccinate 70% of the adult population in the summer is ambitious but achievable, he also commented on some of the economic stimulus measures that  Withdrawing the measures to support the economy too soon will be more dangerous than the delay.

 - However, it should be noted that this word "too early" is quite vague because the disbursement of the EU Recovery Fund will only take place and in the middle of this year - more than a year after the pandemic occurs.

 3️⃣ Notable facts and economic data today

 - tonight, Fed Chairman Powell attended the Senate Banking Committee hearing and delivered testimony on the semi-annual monetary policy report.  Investors should pay attention to the content of Powell's testimony.

23rd Feb

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Checkout the past 24 hours news- Money life research

  1️⃣ Yesterday's main news

 - The Federal Reserve issues money policy reports for the first 2 quarters of the year.

 - Williams called rising US yields a positive sign.

 - The United States officially returned to the Paris Agreement.

 - Biden approved Texas as a "state of great disaster".

 - G7 is committed to continuing to provide fiscal stimulus.

 - Pfizer vaccine does not need refrigeration.

 2️⃣ Notable economic events and data this week

 - This week, Fed Chairman Powell will turn to two hearings in the Senate and the House of Representatives to deliver testimony on the next year's monetary policy report.  Several senior Fed officials, including Fed Vice Chairman Clarida, will also speak.  And European Central Bank President Lagarde will also deliver a speech.

 - The US House of Representatives is scheduled to vote on President Biden's $ 1.9 trillion stimulus plan on Feb. 26. If it can be passed, it will be submitted to the Senate for a vote.  The stimulus may be reduced to a certain extent, but it is expected that it will eventually be adopted.

 - On February 26-27, the finance ministers and central bank governors of the Group of 20 Countries (G20) will hold a video conference, expected to discuss the new pandemic,  possible global economic and collaborative methods.

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Latest News on Gold

 ‼ ️The world gold in the past 2 days has had a relatively strong decline when the price has decreased from 1826 to 1769 ($ 57).  Yesterday, the price of Gold tested the 176x price range on 11/30/2020.  In my opinion, this price zone is a very important one.  If Gold price this week continues to break this 176x price range, it is likely that it will officially enter a strong price drop coming and 16xx will be the next destination of Gold on the weekly chart timeframe.

 - After 2 days of bearishness and hitting strong support on the weekly chart time frame (W1) in my opinion, I am not inclined to the bearish trend that continues today and expects Gold price here will have a certain recovery span so that it can take further downside momentum in the near future.

 - On a shorter time frame than D1, in this Asian session, the first level that gold can possibly recover is around 1790 - 1800. This is also the nearest short-term resistance zone that pushes the price of Gold down.  day.  Around this price range, we will liquidate the order and wait for the next trend.

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DOW JONES & CRUDE OIL PRICE OUTLOOK

DOW JONES & CRUDE OIL FORECAST: WILL A CRUDE BREAKOUT BOOST THE DOW?

The Dow Jones trades at record levels once again after recovering from market turbulence in late January. Not to be outdone, crude oil prices have climbed to their highest levels since January 2020. Encouragingly for the Dow, the recent breakout in the fossil fuel should serve as a tailwind for energy stocks and could translate into greater gains for indices with energy exposure.

That said, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is not what it once was and its exposure to energy has slowly dwindled in recent years. The fall from grace suffered by energy stocks was acutely exemplified when Exxon Mobil (XOM) was removed from the Industrial Average in August 2020 after holding a spot on the index since 1928. XOM shares have outperformed the broader market in the year-to-date, but this outperformance has not been shared with the Dow Jones.

With that in mind, traders searching for exposure to energy stocks in the event crude oil looks to climb higher might find tighter correlations in single stocks or the exchange-traded funds like XLE.

Further still, USD/CAD typically enjoys an inverse correlation with crude oil, meaning if crude prices continue to rise, the pair may fall under pressure. Combined with the reversal in recent USD strength, USD/CAD might serve as a potential proxy for macro traders looking to ride crude oil strength.

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GOLD NEWS HEADLINES- Money Life Research

Gold went down last week because of advances in vaccines stimulating the outlook for a recovery from the coronavirus pandemic. The metal's appeal as a secure haven is diminishing as investors compare this view to the likelihood that further stimulus could weaken the dollar and approach consumer prices.

Gold was steady after the most important two-day gain during a month as investors weighed prospects for more stimulus within the U.S. and therefore the possibility of upper consumer prices against attention on Bitcoin and stocks at a record.

Bullion rose on Monday as Democrats released the primary draft of key legislation which will comprise President Joe Biden’s Covid-19 relief bill. Bets on a strong package are helping to underpin market-derived inflation expectations, which are at multi-year highs, and have fanned the so-called reflation trade.

Gold is rebounding after last week’s get back rock bottom level since the beginning of December when a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields weighed on the haven asset that doesn’t offer interest. A report on Wednesday is forecast to point out U.S. consumer prices rising at a quickening pace.

“Gold is rallying from a two-month low as Biden’s massive $1.9 trillion plan is close to becoming a reality,” said Edward Moya, senior analyst at Oanda Corp. “The economic recovery is weak, and prospects are growing that more is going to be done. The reflation trade is occurring tons faster than expected.”

Spot gold was steady at $1,832.68 an oz by 8:25 a.m. in Singapore, after a 2.1%, two-day gain. Silver rose with platinum, while palladium was little changed. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was flat after easing 0.1% Monday.

Meanwhile, traders were also watching a surge in Bitcoin, which hit a record on Monday after Tesla Inc. bought $1.5 billion of the cryptocurrency. The automaker said revised policies also permit it to take a position in gold.

KEY POINTS

The price of gold was way oversold, and this has provided the right catalyst for retracement later last week.

Non-farm payroll data has reaffirmed the necessity for an additional round of stimulus, which can help the gold price to recover.

Important levels: 1,784, 1,814, 1,827, and 1,848.

USD Dollar Update Today's

 

USD: Dollar correlations with other stalling asset groups

The trade-weighted dollar is up from its lows in early January by just over 2 percent. The declining negative correlation of the dollar with stock markets is noticeable and it is difficult to put a finger on what drives this. True, US yields have picked up marginally, but last week's increase in German Bund yields matched that of US Treasuries. And, of course, the US vaccine roll-out looks far more promising than in Europe, while year-to-date returns in the US S&P 500 are just slightly higher than those of the Eurostoxx 50. Here, heavy short dollar positioning is likely to play a major role and would again seem vulnerable if any portion of the employment data for non-farm payrolls were welcomed positively. After the 140k decline in December, Consensus is looking for around a 100k gain. Any upside surprise might see DXY extend its rally at 91.88 to the 100-day moving average, but we still prefer to see this as a rally for the bear market.

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BITCOIN (BTC/USD) PRICE CHART: HOURLY TIME (JANUARY 2021 – FEBRUARY 2021)

Bitcoin has been on the backfoot since timing another record on January 8, tumbling from $42,000 to beneath $29,000 in January alone. While theoretical lunacy was occurring somewhere else, well-known revenue in Bitcoin appeared to blur, in any event immediately, and the biggest digital currency by market cap looked defenseless against additional misfortunes.

In my past Bitcoin standpoint update, we featured an assortment of obstruction from the $35,000 to $36,000 region which we noted may see Bitcoin bit by bit drain lower except if broken. Indeed, the hindrance was immediately thrown away after Mr. Musk's intercession. Accordingly, what seemed to be imposing opposition was broken and Bitcoin got away from the arrangement of lower-highs and lower-lows that were starting to frame a bearish example on the graph. Thus, the specialized break started by Tesla's Chairman may have permitted Bitcoin to dodge further decreases.

A move past the January 29 high could see BTC/USD drive even higher, with ensuing opposition around the $40,000 mark – which corresponds with the January 14 pinnacle – and the record-breaking high around $42,000. 

Then again, uphold from the $30,000 to $28,000 territory stays a significant milestone for bulls. Should value break underneath the zone, BTC could quicken descending as help is moderately inadequate until the Fibonacci level around $24,230. On account of ongoing increases, earlier opposition around the $35,000 may likewise go about as help to go ahead.

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Bitcoin Playing Catch Up to New Highs

 Bitcoin looks poised to extend recent gains, as prices burst above Descending Triangle resistance and the psychologically imposing 35,000 marks. With the RSI eyeing a push above 60, and a bullish crossover taking place on the MACD indicator, the path of least resistance seems skewed to the topside.

Clearing the January 29 high (38711) would probably intensify near-term buying pressure and carve a path for the price to challenge the yearly high (41969). Breaking that is needed to signal the resumption of the primary uptrend and pave the way for the popular cryptocurrency to fulfill the Descending Triangle’s implied measured move (47699).

Alternatively, failing to breach the 38700 marks could trigger a pullback to former resistance-turned-support at the January 2 high (33292).

The IG Client Sentiment Report shows 83.58% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 5.09 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 2.05% lower than yesterday and 9.82% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 1.30% higher than yesterday and 9.11% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Bitcoin prices may continue to fall.

Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current Bitcoin price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.

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Check Out the News of the Past 24 Hours

 1️⃣ Summary of monetary policy decisions of the Central Bank of Australia after the latest meeting

 The RBA did not change its interest rate policy as expected, after the policy decision, the AUD fell again.  Notable policy points include:

 + Expanded quantitative easing (QE) program:

 - Increase the program by 100 billion AUD;

 - Asset purchase speed is at 5 billion AUD / week;

 - It will be started in mid-April when the current show ends;

 + The RBA gives policy direction that they do not expect sufficient favorable conditions to raise interest rates until as early as 2024;

 + The outlook for the economic recovery is also slightly improved;

 + Commenting on the AUD, the RBA has a not so hard stance, they said: The exchange rate has increased and is in the upper range of the amplitude in recent years.

 2️⃣ EUR is under selling pressure, USD benefits

 - The dollar fluctuated near a seven-week high on Tuesday, most of the motivation comes from a sell-off in the euro as a blockade in the EU aimed at curbing the widespread pandemic has affected consumer spending.  .

 - The euro fell the most in 2 and a half weeks in the first session of the week when German retail sales data fell more than forecast in December, while the continent is still struggling with the deployment of vaccines.  .

 3️⃣ Notable facts and economic data today

 - US "small non-farm" job data is released, the market is expected to increase by 45,000 people, and the previous value is down 123,000.

 - According to the announcement, EIA crude oil inventories in the United States for the week to January 29 are expected to increase by 367,000 barrels, and the previous value will decrease by 9.91 million barrels.  If the inventory falls, the price of oil can be supported.  The API data released earlier this morning recorded a sharp drop.

 On the central bank issue, the President of Reserve Bank of Australia Lowe delivered a speech.  At the next morning, Evans, the 2021 FOMC voting committee and the Chicago Fed president, delivered a speech on the current economic situation and monetary policy during an online event.

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Us Dollar Fall Down

 The US dollar had a bounce in January from a 34-month low.  The DXY index recorded an increase of 0.71% monthly.  The strength of the US Dollar seems to correspond to an increase in demand for safe-haven currencies as market sentiment worsens and volatility accelerates.

 This relationship is highlighted by the generally positive correlation between the DXY Index and the S&P 500 based on the VIX Index.  The bulls of the US Dollar may find the impetus to take another step forward if the trader's risk appetite continues to decline and pushes the VIX's 'fear gauge' higher.  However, selling pressure in USD is likely to continue if there is a lower pullback in the VIX Index compared to current levels.

Looking at the daily chart of the US Dollar Index, we can see that an inverse head and shoulders pattern appears to have formed.  This makes the potential for a bullish reversal into the spotlight, which can be confirmed by a break above the 91.10 price level.  Overcoming this obstacle can get you quickly moving to the 92.00 handle that is almost reinforced by the 100-day simple moving average.

 Though, the US Dollar is currently facing technical resistance due to its negative sloping 50-day moving average.  Not to mention, the upper Bollinger Band may continue to conceal the rally of the US Dollar.  The sustained rebound could be destroyed if the DXY fails to defend the short-term uptrend line connecting the chain of lower levels since Jan. 6.

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How to Short Sell a Stock When Trading Falling Markets

Shorting a stock includes selling a borrowed stock within the anticipation of shopping for an equivalent stock back at a lower future price and pocketing the difference. a short sale may be a normal part of a lively trader’s plan because it presents traders with the power to profit from an advancing market and a declining one. this text makes use of examples to elucidate what short sale is, why it's important and lists the highest things to think about when short sale stocks.

WHAT IS short sale AND WHY DO IT?

Short selling is that the process of borrowing shares via a broker, selling those shares at the present market value , and later buying the shares back at a lower cost so as to return the shares to the broker.

Why short stocks? the solution to the present question is multi-layered but generally, shorting stocks presents a chance to trade a decline during a share’s price.
To some, a short sale seems rather unethical because you're essentially taking a stance that a company’s share price will fall, which could end in large scale retrenchments affecting many households within the process. To others, this represents a chance to take a position on over-valued stocks or to profit from the largescale selling of unscrupulous companies.

Nowadays, additionally to retail traders, there are well-established hedge funds that specialize in short sale , or ‘shorting’ various companies. Some short sellers publish research on companies that are imagined to have reported misleading figures within the publication of monetary statements or where there's sufficient evidence of corrupt business practices.
Before diving into the planet of short sale , we recommend you review the stock exchange basics.

WHAT DOES SHORTING A STOCK INVOLVE?

At this stage, it's going to be helpful to differentiate between short sale stocks within the underlying market (non-leveraged) and shorting (selling or taking a brief position) via a broker offering leverage.
The traditional approach has been begun above, where the short seller borrows shares from a broker, sells the shares, and later buys the shares back at a reduction to return to the broker.
However, the emergence of leverage trading has simplified this process to the purpose where shorting a stock is just a matter of clicking the ‘sell’ button for the specified stock on a web platform.

HOW TO SHORT SELL A STOCK

The following steps are often followed when shorting a stock:
Select the specified market
Confirm a down-trending market
Predetermine stop losses and limits (risk-to-reward ratio)
Enter the short trade
The trade is complete once the stop or limit is hit
Traders can make use of the 200-day moving average or use trend lines to gauge whether the stock is during a trending environment.
The short-selling process is often made clearer by using actual figures within the sort of a practical example.

SHORT SELLING EXAMPLE

Let’s say a short-seller wishes to sell 10 shares of Apple Inc as he believes the share price goes to drop by the near future. If the worth of Apple is $200 and therefore the margin requirement is 50%, meaning the trader would effectively be controlling $2000 ($200 x 10 shares) worth of Apple shares while only putting up $1000 ($2000 x 0.5) as margin.

The short seller sets the target at a price of $170 and a stop at $210 to determine a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio. If price hits the target, the short seller could gain near $300 ($30 x 10 shares), minus any financing fees and commissions.
Nominal trade value = $2000
Margin = 50% ($1000)
Gain after taking profit = $300 ($30 x 10 shares)
Potential loss: $100 ($10 x 10 shares)

This example also presents the perfect scenario but financial markets are often unpredictable and don't move as reliably as presented here. it's for this reason that traders should adopt sound risk management practices from the outset.

WHAT ARE THE RISKS WHEN short sale STOCKS?

When learning the way to short sell stocks it's crucial to stay subsequent in mind:

Potential for unlimited losses -Short positions without stops, theoretically have the potential for unlimited losses. there's no limit to the worth of a share can rise to which further underscores the importance of stops.
Short squeeze –A short squeeze occurs when short traders witness an increase in price (contrary to what was expected) resulting in losses that eventually force traders to shop for (to close the trade) at a better price and take a loss. Price gains more upward momentum as more short sellers buy to shut their positions.

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