Tuesday 26 October 2021

Weekly Overview on Currencies

 Currencies


MARKET VIEW


Weekly changes: EURUSD +0.61%, GBPUSD +0.28%, USDCAD +0.13%


EURUSD closed the week at 1.16425. The pair reached the 1.1670 mark twice but declined both times from the strength of the current resistance level.


GBPUSD ended Friday at 1.37551. The pair traded modestly within a week, having risen 2.4% in the previous fortnight.


USDCAD closed the week at 1.23583, the same spot as the Friday ago. The oil stepped from its three-year high, giving the Canadian dollar space to consolidate.


BULLISH TRIGGERS


The U.S. dollar eased after Powell's comment, enabling EURUSD to advance near the 1.1650 level. However, the eurozone inflation expectations are at their highest levels in years. This puts additional pressure on the ECB and its monetary policy agenda meeting this week.


GBPUSD changed insignificantly. The British pound fluctuated due to the country's various economic releases but remained bullish by late Friday. Early in November, the BoE is expected to be the first major central bank to lift its interest rate.


BEARISH TRIGGERS


The USDCAD finished the week flat, slowing its monthly-long decline. The BoC interest rate decision meeting this week might propose another round of tapering. Two days later, Canada will release its GDP data. The central bank's choice of tight or dovish tone of voice, followed by the solid or weak data, will determine USDCAD behaviour this week.

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